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Statistics Profile

Gerhard Guevarra

Verified
1977
All-American Fencing Academy

Current strength

Weapon Type Strength Estimate Range* Min Max
Épée Pool 1537 965 - 2108 1014 1537
Épée Direct elimination 1926 1023 - 2828 1651 1926
Foil Pool 2186 1979 - 2392 2186 3475
Foil Direct elimination 2586 2351 - 2820 2346 2881
Saber Pool 1902 1032 - 2771 1902 1902
Saber Direct elimination 2659 1172 - 4145 2659 2659

* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

Matchup against me

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

How it works

  • Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
  • The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
  • New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
  • Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
  • The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
  • Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
  • Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
  • Per-bout changes are available in bout history.