Statistics Profile

Matthew Clausen

1972

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2511	2058 - 2963	2511	2674
Épée	Direct elimination	1605	560 - 2649	1605	2096
Foil	Pool	2003	1642 - 2363	2003	2655
Foil	Direct elimination	1761	960 - 2561	1583	2079

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.