Statistics Profile

Peter Grandbois

1964

Denison University Fencing NCAA

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2725	2260 - 3189	2725	2906
Épée	Direct elimination	2602	1736 - 3467	2378	2602
Foil	Pool	3351	2993 - 3708	3203	3460
Foil	Direct elimination	3410	3030 - 3789	2569	3410
Saber	Pool	2559	1800 - 3317	2559	2559
Saber	Direct elimination	2470	1304 - 3635	2470	2470

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.