Statistics Profile

William Gelnaw

1954

No Fear Fencing Fortune Fencing

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2010	1834 - 2185	2010	2686
Épée	Direct elimination	2383	2131 - 2634	2083	2964
Foil	Pool	1389	1029 - 1748	1259	1557
Foil	Direct elimination	1427	787 - 2066	1384	1686
Saber	Pool	1296	640 - 1951	1296	1630
Saber	Direct elimination	1775	615 - 2934	1775	1905

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.