Statistics Profile

John Rea

1945

Wilmington Fencer's Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1614	1346 - 1881	1363	2007
Épée	Direct elimination	1684	1059 - 2308	1684	2299
Foil	Pool	1482	1225 - 1738	1482	2488
Foil	Direct elimination	1576	1079 - 2072	1576	2618
Saber	Pool	1012	700 - 1323	973	2269
Saber	Direct elimination	1377	752 - 2001	1328	2467

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.