Statistics Profile

Timothy Robinson

1977

Presidio Fencing Club University Of Calif/Santa Barbara (UCSB)

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2616	1743 - 3488	2616	2616
Épée	Direct elimination	2544	1537 - 3550	2544	2544
Foil	Pool	2348	2058 - 2637	2126	2539
Foil	Direct elimination	2619	2160 - 3077	2420	2949

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.