Statistics Profile

Peter Marcus

1964

Indianapolis Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2366	2066 - 2665	1369	2420
Épée	Direct elimination	2292	1805 - 2778	1921	2292
Foil	Pool	2006	1763 - 2248	1785	2538
Foil	Direct elimination	2131	1776 - 2485	1848	2263

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.