Statistics Profile

Larry Smith

1951

Spokane Fencers Unlimited

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1039	491 - 1586	815	1398
Épée	Direct elimination	1746	628 - 2863	1746	2079
Saber	Pool	1207	843 - 1570	1207	1965
Saber	Direct elimination	1336	602 - 2069	1336	1856

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.