Statistics Profile

Karen Lieu

1974

Avant Garde Fencers Club, Inc (CA) (AGFC)

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1884	1513 - 2254	1884	2475
Épée	Direct elimination	1969	1298 - 2639	1677	2330
Foil	Pool	2073	1536 - 2609	2073	3062
Foil	Direct elimination	2557	1796 - 3317	2557	2857
Saber	Pool	1599	922 - 2275	1599	1599
Saber	Direct elimination	2474	1474 - 3473	2474	2474

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.