Statistics Profile

Monica Exum

1967

Salle Auriol Seattle

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2712	2513 - 2910	2710	3485
Épée	Direct elimination	3127	2920 - 3333	3127	3664
Foil	Pool	2050	1593 - 2506	2050	2965
Foil	Direct elimination	2665	2032 - 3297	2571	3276

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.