Statistics Profile

Monica Exum

1967

Salle Auriol Seattle

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2763	2563 - 2962	2710	3485
Épée	Direct elimination	3151	2939 - 3362	3136	3664
Foil	Pool	2450	1873 - 3026	2450	2965
Foil	Direct elimination	2761	2107 - 3414	2571	3276

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.