Statistics Profile

Dana Sanford

1985

Metro Tacoma Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2686	1921 - 3450	2686	2686
Épée	Direct elimination	2662	1518 - 3805	2662	2662
Foil	Pool	2449	1642 - 3255	2449	2449
Foil	Direct elimination	2157	783 - 3530	2157	2157

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.