Statistics Profile

Donovan Holtz

1983

Rockland Fencers Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2834	2659 - 3008	2580	3210
Épée	Direct elimination	3198	2968 - 3427	3135	4018
Foil	Pool	2069	1531 - 2606	2069	2316
Foil	Direct elimination	1569	511 - 2626	1569	1761

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.