Statistics Profile

Mac Shaker

1970

American Institute Of Fencing

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Foil	Pool	3004	2137 - 3870	3004	3004
Foil	Direct elimination	2041	728 - 3353	2041	2041
Saber	Pool	2326	1774 - 2877	2244	2326
Saber	Direct elimination	2553	1583 - 3522	2542	2553

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.