Statistics Profile

Henry Chang

1958

East Bay Fencers Gym

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2289	2048 - 2529	2272	2600
Épée	Direct elimination	1985	1496 - 2473	1985	2349
Saber	Pool	1705	1153 - 2256	1423	1705
Saber	Direct elimination	1827	707 - 2946	1827	2210

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.