Statistics Profile

Sandra Marchant

1970

Rogue Fencing Academy The Phoenix Center

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2679	2489 - 2868	2578	3255
Épée	Direct elimination	3141	2961 - 3320	3089	3969
Saber	Pool	1207	771 - 1642	1207	1488
Saber	Direct elimination	1841	1118 - 2563	1580	2093

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.