Statistics Profile

Todd Wilson

1965

Fencing Club Asheville

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1931	1288 - 2573	1781	1931
Épée	Direct elimination	1501	480 - 2521	1501	1817
Foil	Pool	2425	1832 - 3017	2334	2425
Foil	Direct elimination	2913	2269 - 3556	2586	2913

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.