Statistics Profile

Iain Valentine

1971

Salle Auriol Seattle

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1509	1175 - 1842	1509	1575
Épée	Direct elimination	1787	977 - 2596	1524	1789
Foil	Pool	2035	1862 - 2207	2035	2478
Foil	Direct elimination	2377	2173 - 2580	1931	2833
Saber	Pool	1146	631 - 1660	1146	1629
Saber	Direct elimination	957	132 - 1781	957	1996

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.