Statistics Profile

Iain Valentine

1971

Salle Auriol Seattle

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1547	1052 - 2041	1547	1547
Épée	Direct elimination	1524	440 - 2607	1524	1524
Foil	Pool	2104	1929 - 2278	2080	2478
Foil	Direct elimination	2421	2212 - 2629	1931	2833
Saber	Pool	1146	631 - 1660	1146	1629
Saber	Direct elimination	957	132 - 1781	957	1996

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.