Statistics Profile

Gary Thoreson

1949

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2179	1971 - 2386	2133	2465
Épée	Direct elimination	2096	1667 - 2524	1833	2356
Foil	Pool	2319	1739 - 2898	2031	2319
Foil	Direct elimination	1712	523 - 2900	1712	1972

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.