Statistics Profile

Wayne Frey

1966

Florida State University Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1983	1815 - 2150	1980	2813
Épée	Direct elimination	2436	2252 - 2619	2406	3744
Foil	Pool	1879	1557 - 2200	1879	2577
Foil	Direct elimination	2263	1766 - 2759	2263	2405
Saber	Pool	1405	902 - 1907	1405	2944
Saber	Direct elimination	1922	651 - 3192	1922	1922

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.