Statistics Profile

Nalin Desai

1989

Silicon Valley Fencing Center

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1961	1499 - 2422	1961	2105
Épée	Direct elimination	2407	1663 - 3150	2407	2609
Foil	Pool	2625	2445 - 2804	2625	2908
Foil	Direct elimination	2897	2659 - 3134	2897	3178

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.