Statistics Profile

Marsh Douglas

1982

Buccaneer Blades Fencing

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2264	1957 - 2570	1745	2281
Épée	Direct elimination	2585	2126 - 3043	2299	2686
Foil	Pool	2734	1807 - 3660	2734	2734
Foil	Direct elimination	1976	683 - 3268	1976	1976

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.