Statistics Profile

James Zirkle

1981

RedStar Fencing Club Chicago

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1641	687 - 2594	1641	1641
Épée	Direct elimination	2154	746 - 3561	2154	2154
Saber	Pool	2376	2194 - 2557	1991	2575
Saber	Direct elimination	2945	2702 - 3187	2636	3348

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.