Statistics Profile

John Heberling

1956

Eugene Fencers Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	850	339 - 1360	850	1108
Épée	Direct elimination	1551	577 - 2524	1551	1727
Foil	Pool	1040	239 - 1840	1040	1040
Foil	Direct elimination	1651	443 - 2858	1651	1651

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.