Statistics Profile

Marcia Pierce

1963

Eastern Kentucky University Fencing Club NKY Fencing Academy (NKFA)

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1748	1533 - 1962	1723	2254
Épée	Direct elimination	2053	1560 - 2545	2053	2841
Foil	Pool	1058	294 - 1821	1058	1058
Foil	Direct elimination	2121	863 - 3378	2121	2121

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.