Statistics Profile

Jordan Herin

1989

Augusta Fencers Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	3515	2582 - 4447	3068	3515
Épée	Direct elimination	2823	1969 - 3676	2823	3258
Foil	Pool	2350	1740 - 2959	2350	3262
Foil	Direct elimination	2433	1878 - 2987	1825	2611

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.