Statistics Profile

Aaron Dittel

1995

Plymouth/Ann Arbor Fencing Academy Renaissance Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2598	2376 - 2819	2575	2767
Épée	Direct elimination	2686	2379 - 2992	2152	2910
Foil	Pool	2374	1974 - 2773	1844	2374
Foil	Direct elimination	2179	1310 - 3047	1931	2309

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.