Statistics Profile

Martha Griffin

1955

Ann Arbor Dueling Society

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1531	1347 - 1714	1531	2261
Épée	Direct elimination	1592	1258 - 1925	1548	2358
Saber	Pool	327	0 - 1061	327	327
Saber	Direct elimination	1803	579 - 3026	1803	1803

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.