Statistics Profile

Adam Marthens

1987

Corsair Fencing School

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2353	2050 - 2655	2285	2735
Épée	Direct elimination	1946	1331 - 2560	1893	2654
Saber	Pool	2484	1617 - 3350	2484	2484
Saber	Direct elimination	2847	1463 - 4230	2847	2847

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.