Statistics Profile

Katharine Holmes

1993

New York Athletic Club DC Fencers Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	3890	3629 - 4150	3815	4160
Épée	Direct elimination	4362	4125 - 4598	3860	4552
Saber	Pool	2145	1274 - 3015	2145	2145
Saber	Direct elimination	2328	1234 - 3421	2328	2328

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.