Statistics Profile

Trevor Pedersen

1991

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	3248	2677 - 3818	2828	3248
Épée	Direct elimination	3611	2975 - 4246	2945	3611
Foil	Pool	3191	2425 - 3956	3191	3191
Foil	Direct elimination	3643	2922 - 4363	3643	3643
Saber	Pool	2391	1761 - 3020	1763	2391
Saber	Direct elimination	2965	2036 - 3893	2618	2965

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.