Statistics Profile

David Armbruster

1962

Saint Louis Fencing Club Parkway Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2079	1806 - 2351	2009	2848
Épée	Direct elimination	1778	1334 - 2221	1647	2101
Foil	Pool	1617	822 - 2411	1617	1617
Foil	Direct elimination	1922	586 - 3257	1922	1922

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.