Statistics Profile

Paul Rosenthal

1955

Sheridan Fencing Academy Sheridan Fencing Academy of Westchester

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1606	1331 - 1880	1361	2028
Épée	Direct elimination	2057	1537 - 2576	1356	2082
Saber	Pool	2069	1818 - 2319	2069	2310
Saber	Direct elimination	2412	1976 - 2847	2244	2967

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.