Statistics Profile

Royce Crayton

1982

Nova Fencing Club Tampa Bay Fencers Inc.

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2327	1713 - 2940	2327	2605
Épée	Direct elimination	2405	1603 - 3206	2405	2754
Foil	Pool	2247	1959 - 2534	2040	2806
Foil	Direct elimination	2547	2209 - 2884	1576	2547

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.