Statistics Profile

Kathryn Pierrynowski

1980

Research Triangle Fencing

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Foil	Pool	2496	2296 - 2695	2333	2788
Foil	Direct elimination	2508	2253 - 2762	1559	2530
Saber	Pool	2488	2256 - 2719	2052	2692
Saber	Direct elimination	3065	2778 - 3351	3038	3567

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.