Statistics Profile

Chris Williams

1984

Houston Sword Sports

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2051	1318 - 2783	2051	2051
Épée	Direct elimination	2137	1024 - 3249	2137	2137
Foil	Pool	2319	1790 - 2847	2319	2319
Saber	Pool	2246	1807 - 2684	2246	3227
Saber	Direct elimination	2782	2024 - 3539	2766	3251

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.