Statistics Profile

Jonathan Kurpaska

1985

Bucks County Academy Of Fencing

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1965	1583 - 2346	1965	2095
Épée	Direct elimination	1957	1360 - 2553	1839	2426
Foil	Pool	2083	1839 - 2326	1889	3206
Foil	Direct elimination	2484	2117 - 2850	2217	2670

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.