Statistics Profile

Theresa Knutson

1967

Lincoln Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Foil	Pool	2388	1541 - 3234	2388	2388
Foil	Direct elimination	1931	549 - 3312	1931	1931
Saber	Pool	2096	1853 - 2338	2096	2676
Saber	Direct elimination	1753	1217 - 2288	1707	2698

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.