Statistics Profile

Jacob Duell

1991

Richmond Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2643	1851 - 3434	2643	2643
Épée	Direct elimination	3288	2488 - 4087	3288	3288
Foil	Pool	2515	2238 - 2791	2515	2927
Foil	Direct elimination	2624	2273 - 2974	2297	2894

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.