Statistics Profile

Dale Karolak

1959
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Current strength

Weapon Type Strength Estimate Range* Min Max
Épée Pool 2547 2363 - 2730 2515 3128
Épée Direct elimination 2770 2580 - 2959 2666 3013
Foil Pool 2297 2118 - 2475 2277 3116
Foil Direct elimination 2482 2269 - 2694 2482 2890
Saber Pool 1392 826 - 1957 1392 1559
Saber Direct elimination 1235 328 - 2141 1235 1415

* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

Matchup against me

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

How it works

  • Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
  • The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
  • New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
  • Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
  • The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
  • Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
  • Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
  • Per-bout changes are available in bout history.