Statistics Profile

Sean Vilar-Fancher

1992

Shoreline Fencers Club Candlewood Fencing Center

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2172	1321 - 3022	2172	2172
Épée	Direct elimination	1970	935 - 3004	1970	1970
Saber	Pool	1998	1667 - 2328	1837	3022
Saber	Direct elimination	2744	2312 - 3175	2311	3002

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.