Statistics Profile

William Karnavas

1963

Forge Fencing Teams DUR

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1741	1564 - 1917	1741	2447
Épée	Direct elimination	1668	1360 - 1975	1434	1991
Foil	Pool	1621	1424 - 1817	1455	1818
Foil	Direct elimination	1917	1586 - 2247	1783	2670

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.