Statistics Profile

Adlai Brandt-Ogman

1998

Brooklyn Bridge Fencing Club Candlewood Fencing Center

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2933	1942 - 3923	2933	2933
Épée	Direct elimination	1810	573 - 3046	1810	1810
Foil	Pool	2915	2688 - 3141	2856	3110
Foil	Direct elimination	2783	2300 - 3265	2417	2838

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.