Statistics Profile

Wesley Johnson

1997

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2990	2727 - 3252	2977	3566
Épée	Direct elimination	3696	3311 - 4080	3125	3902
Saber	Pool	2792	1735 - 3848	2792	2792
Saber	Direct elimination	2457	1526 - 3387	2457	2457

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.