Statistics Profile

Jesse Wallak

1988

Ligonier Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2587	2230 - 2943	2512	2766
Épée	Direct elimination	2685	2206 - 3163	2048	2720
Foil	Pool	1892	1520 - 2263	1835	2112
Foil	Direct elimination	1765	1166 - 2363	1732	2300
Saber	Pool	1959	1198 - 2719	1959	1959
Saber	Direct elimination	1685	750 - 2619	1685	1685

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.