Statistics Profile

Rosa Hearne

1956

Atlantic Fencing Academy

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1666	1488 - 1843	1619	2271
Épée	Direct elimination	1864	1535 - 2192	1796	2957
Foil	Pool	1339	796 - 1881	1339	1445
Foil	Direct elimination	1804	668 - 2939	1804	2177
Saber	Pool	1317	1132 - 1501	1247	1863
Saber	Direct elimination	1403	1048 - 1757	1117	2079

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.