Statistics Profile

Xiao-Qing Tsai

1999

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2546	1573 - 3518	2546	2546
Épée	Direct elimination	2817	1379 - 4254	2817	2817
Foil	Pool	3532	3212 - 3851	3490	4225
Foil	Direct elimination	3528	3062 - 3993	2239	3715

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.