Statistics Profile

Mohammad Shafaie

1963

Freehold Fencing Academy

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	446	107 - 784	446	2003
Épée	Direct elimination	1025	291 - 1758	870	1748
Foil	Pool	544	260 - 827	544	2077
Foil	Direct elimination	716	53 - 1378	716	1644
Saber	Pool	453	0 - 1206	453	453
Saber	Direct elimination	1626	373 - 2878	1626	1626

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.