Statistics Profile

Evan Dobbins

1992

Fencers School Of Connecticut

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1646	864 - 2427	1646	1646
Épée	Direct elimination	1750	516 - 2983	1750	1750
Foil	Pool	2823	2634 - 3011	1860	3126
Foil	Direct elimination	2956	2765 - 3146	2347	3483

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.