Statistics Profile

James Fowler

1991

Still Point Fencing Wildcat Fencing-University of Arizona

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2525	2337 - 2712	2518	3087
Épée	Direct elimination	2746	2538 - 2953	2734	3336
Saber	Pool	1494	800 - 2187	1494	1494
Saber	Direct elimination	1632	423 - 2840	1632	1632

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.