Statistics Profile

Andy Wiseman

1992

Northwest Fencing Center Oregon Fencing Alliance

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Foil	Pool	1841	1522 - 2159	1841	3191
Foil	Direct elimination	1982	1511 - 2452	1657	2133
Saber	Pool	2511	2072 - 2949	2472	3086
Saber	Direct elimination	2446	1936 - 2955	1960	2571

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.